Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals World Series Game 6: odds, prop bets and predictions

Houston Astros
The Houston Astros are one win away from winning the World Series again. Photo credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Game 6: Washington Nationals (+1.5, -140) at Houston Astros (-1.5, +120) Tuesday, 8:08 p.m. ET on FOX

Stephen Strasburg, RHP (WSH) vs Justin Verlander, RHP (HOU)

Astros lead series, 3-2

Game 6 of the World Series may be the final baseball game in 2019. The World Series heads back to Houston with the Astros one win away from their second championship in three seasons. Having said that, the Nationals are not done yet with right-hander Stephen Strasburg on the hill. Strasburg is having a playoff run for the ages and now has a 1.34 career ERA in the playoffs.

Strasburg is +200 to get the win on PointsBet.

Strasburg will oppose right-hander Justin Verlander, who has not had the same kind of playoff success. Verlander is 0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six career World Series starts. Verlander is the first pitcher ever to lose his first five World Series decisions.

The right-hander also has not been in his regular season Cy Young form this World Series as Verlander gave up four runs across six innings in Game 2’s defeat.

On the offensive side of the ball, outfielder Juan Soto has been the Nationals’ best hitter. Soto homered in Game 1 and Game 5, and had a double in Game 2 against Verlander. Now seeing the eight-time All-Star for the second time this week, Soto is a player to keep an eye on. The 21-year-old is +140 to record at least three bases in Game 6 and +210 to record at least two hits.

Soto is 6-for-18 with four extra base hits in the series so far.

On the Astros side, second baseman and ALCS MVP Jose Altuve is the most likely to record a multiple-hit game, according to PointsBet. Altuve is -106 to have 2+ hits in Game 6. Altuve is 9-for-25 at the plate in the five games and has three multi-hit games in the series.

A very short sample size, Altuve is 4-for-8 in his career against Strasburg.

With the Astros just one-win shy of ending the series, they are -800 to become World Series winners compared to +525 for the Nationals. If this series goes seven games, Game 7 will be Wednesday night, Oct. 30.

Prediction: Nationals (+1.5) force a Game 7, Strasburg gets the win (+200), over 7.5 runs (+100), Juan Soto has at least two hits (+210)

The matchup in Game 2 was exactly the same and we predict it will finish the same way with Strasburg getting the win opposing Verlander. The Nationals won Game 2 by a score of 12-3. The road team has coincidentally won every game in this series and that could continue Tuesday night in Game 6.

Despite the great pitching matchup, the over 7.5 runs is our pick here. It would be a surprise if either Strasburg or Verlander pitched a complete game, meaning these bullpens will be seen again. The hitters are now getting third and fourth looks at many of these relievers, so it should be an advantage for the batters. Four of the five matchups so far have exceeded 7.5 runs. 

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