12/3/2019 NBA prop bets, odds and predictions

Let’s take a look at some of the more intriguing NBA prop bets and odds for Tuesday Dec. 3. The interesting games in this NBA slate all take place out West. 

NBA prop bets
Houston Rockets guard James Harden has already had two games this season with 59+ points. Photo credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Mavericks (-4, 233 over/under) at New Orleans Pelicans, Tuesday at 7:40 pm ET (TNT)

The Mavericks are on a huge roll lately, led by NBA MVP candidate Luka Doncic. Doncic has averaged a triple double since the start of November, averaging 32.1 points, 10.2 rebounds and 10.4 assists per game on a crisp 48.9 percent shooting.

Doncic is -114 to have over 31.5 points in Tuesday’s contest. Considering how well he has performed and that the Pelicans are giving up 118.8 points per game – second worst in the NBA — this should be looked at.

The Mavericks have a top-five offense (118.8 points per game) and the Pelicans are allowing that many per game, so selecting the over on 233 total points (-110) also looks promising.

Both teams like to run, so the pace should lead to a high-scoring affair.

Prediction: Mavericks cover (-4)

The Mavericks are playing like one of the best teams in the NBA right now, having won eight of nine and possessing a 7-2 record this season on the road.

Louisville vs. Michigan odds and preview

The Pelicans can’t get out of their own way right now, having lost five straight and seemingly just waiting for No. 1 overall NBA draft pick Zion Williamson to make his season debut, which is still at least a few weeks away.

The Mavericks shouldn’t face much resistance in New Orleans against the 6-14 Zion-less Pelicans.

Houston Rockets (-5.5, 233.5 over/under) at San Antonio Spurs, Tuesday at 8:40 pm ET (NBA League Pass)

These aren’t the Spurs we’re used to seeing as coach Gregg Popovich’s group has the 26th-ranked defense (115.1 points per game) and an ugly 7-14 record.

Things might not improve Tuesday playing a dominant offense in the Rockets. James Harden has somehow become an even better scorer, averaging 38.9 points per game after scoring 36.1 points per game last season.

Harden is also coming off a 60-point outing Saturday in just 30 minutes of action in a win over the Atlanta Hawks.

Harden is -115 to have over 37.5 against the Spurs. The Spurs defense hasn’t ever looked worse in the Pop era and the case could be made that Harden is playing the best ball of his career, so 37.5 points, as high as it is, is doable.

The NBA MVP candidate averaged 37 points per game in four matchups against the Spurs last year. Harden has upped his scoring and the Spurs have regressed since then.

Another Rocket to consider is center Clint Capela over 13.5 points (-120). Capela is averaging 18 points per game over his last four contests and, as we’ve discussed at length, the Spurs aren’t stopping anyone defensively at the moment.

The Rockets are averaging 120.3 points per game – second highest in the NBA — so the over 233.5 should be considered. The Rockets will continue to launch three after three and not play much defense either, so this should also be a high-scoring affair.

Prediction: Rockets (-5.5) cover

Duke vs. Michigan State odds and preview

This shouldn’t be a complete shock but one team here is looking to win an NBA title and the other might be sellers at the February trade deadline. Veteran Spurs LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan have been speculated to be on the trade block.

The Rockets have not been afraid to run up the score, putting up 158 against the Hawks in their last game, so this one could get ugly for San Antonio.

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets (-2, 208 over/under), Tuesday at 9:10 pm ET (NBA League Pass)

The two best records out West square off in Denver Tuesday night, which should be a good test for both clubs.

Both of these teams have gotten to the top of the standings based on their defenses.

The Nuggets are allowing the fewest points per game (101.8) in the NBA and the Lakers (104) the fourth-fewest.

NBA prop bets for defensive teams are always a challenge, so let’s get creative here.

How about Anthony Davis and Nikola Jokic combining for 23+ rebounds (+108)?

Jokic’s scoring is down, but his rebounding is as good as ever. The big man is averaging 14.2 rebounds per game over his last five contests.

Davis has also impressed on the glass lately with double-digit boards in three of his last four games.

Also consider the prop bet of Davis getting at least 11 rebounds in a Lakers win at +250.

Prediction: Lakers (+2), over 208 points

With these top teams, this one can go either way, so I’m going with the Lakers with the better odds here, to stay within 2 points at +100 over the Nuggets at -110.

Davis and LeBron James are both clicking and while Denver is never an easy place for opponents to play, the Lakers look like the best team out West right now.

While these teams are both defensive juggernauts, 208 is such a small number in 2019 basketball, so I’m taking the over.

All NBA prop bets and odds were selected through PointsBet and can change throughout the day so get your picks in now!

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