After fattening up on a Thanksgiving feast, let’s see if we can fatten up our wallets up as well with Sunday’s Week 13 NFL picks.
Week 13 NFL picks
San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-5.5, 45.5 over/under), Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (FOX/NFL Sunday Ticket)
I made the mistake of picking against the Baltimore Ravens this past Monday and was rewarded with a 45-6 reminder of why I won’t be making that mistake again Sunday.
At this point, it’s best to ride the Ravens until this current hot streak comes to an end.
The Ravens have won seven in a row, but it’s in the last five games where Baltimore has really shined –winning in those five games by an average margin of victory of 28.0 points.
It’s not as though the Ravens have been beating up on bad teams. Among the wins the Ravens have racked up in recent weeks have come against the 9-2 Seattle Seahawks, 10-1 New England Patriots, 7-4 Houston Texans, and 6-5 Los Angeles Rams.
Then again, the same was said of many of those same teams mentioned above.
Laying 5.5 points against a 10-1 team isn’t ideal, and maybe the Ravens are getting a bit too much respect here, but there are worse risks you can take Sunday when making your Week 13 NFL picks.
Pick: Ravens -5.5
Cleveland Browns (-2, 39.5 over/under) at Pittsburgh Steelers, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS/NFL Sunday Ticket)
Did I miss something here? Did Myles Garrett hit the bookmakers over the head with his helmet?
How are the Cleveland Browns only -2 against a Pittsburgh Steelers team that is starting Delvin Hodges at quarterback and has seen No. 1 wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster miss practice this week with a knee injury and starting running back James Conner limited with a shoulder injury?
The Browns appear to have righted the ship of late, winning their last three games – including a 21-7 win over these same Steelers just two weeks ago.
Odell Beckham Jr. is currently questionable with a groin injury, so maybe that’s part of the reason for the low line, but I’m still willing to take my chances with the Browns here.
Pick: Browns -2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1, 47.5 over/under) at Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (FOX/NFL Sunday Ticket)
The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost their last three games by a combined score of 101-36 – and they weren’t even as close as those scores would indicate.
However, those three losses came away from home with two on the road and one a designated home game in London.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have dropped five of their last seven, so it’s not as though the 1985 Chicago Bears are coming to town Sunday. The Bucs also happen to be 3-8 against the spread this season.
It’s not asking a whole lot of the Jaguars to win, and you are getting a point. Perhaps Nick Foles finally settles in here, playing his first game at home since Week 1, and leads the offense to a bounce-back performance.
Pick: Jaguars +1
Los Angeles Rams (-3, 47.5 over/under) at Arizona Cardinals, Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX/NFL Sunday Ticket)
It’s hard to have much confidence in the Los Angeles Rams these days. The Rams aren’t as bad as Monday’s 45-6 loss to the Ravens, but this is currently a team that looks nothing like the squad that made it to the Super Bowl last year.
The one thing the Arizona Cardinals have going for them is their offense, which also happens to be the Rams’ downfall of late.
Rams quarterback Jared Goff has looked more like a rookie than Cardinals rookie quarterback Kyler Murray in recent weeks. Goff has also been troubled by a battered offensive line, meaning Cardinals linebacker Chandler Jones could create a lot of matchup problems for Los Angeles. Jones ranks second in the NFL in sacks (12.5).
If this game turns into a track meet, the Rams might not be able to keep up. At +130, the Cardinals also deserve some consideration on the moneyline.
Pick: Cardinals +3
Record: NFL picks against the spread
This week: 2-1
This season: 32-32-1